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Brilliant article and this topic of SFPs illustrates how tied together much of Philosophy is. It brings up epistemic issues, Bayesian issues, ontological issues, normative issues, even such far flung ideas as stochastic processes and random sampling! Where to start? I can't. Save to mention SFPs made by fictional predicted about fictional states of affairs in fictional worlds, the interplay of equally credible but contrasting predictions, can they both be SFPs if they create diametrically opposed outcomes? And so forth and so on! Brilliant contribution!

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